Turek Leads Hinson by 4 Points in Iowa Senate Race as Trump Approval Drops 19 Points
Updated
Updated · Fox News · Jul 1
Turek Leads Hinson by 4 Points in Iowa Senate Race as Trump Approval Drops 19 Points
3 articles · Updated · Fox News · Jul 1
Summary
A Fox News poll of 1,003 Iowa registered voters puts Democrat Josh Turek at 50% and Republican Ashley Hinson at 46% in the open Senate race, though the lead sits within the survey’s ±3-point margin of error.
Trump’s Iowa standing has swung sharply negative to 42% favorable and 55% unfavorable, down 19 points from November 2024, while 42% of voters now say they are falling behind financially and 39% rank inflation as their top Senate issue.
Turek’s edge is reinforced by stronger Democratic enthusiasm: he leads by 15 points among extremely motivated voters, wins 96% party support versus Hinson’s 88%, and his backers are more likely to say they are certain to stick with him.
Hinson runs strongest with MAGA Republicans, white evangelicals and older men, but half of voters say they are concerned she is too close to Trump; fewer express concern that Turek is too liberal.
The poll also shows Democrats competitive statewide beyond the Senate race, with gubernatorial nominee Rob Sand leading Republican Zach Lahn by 9 points in the contest to replace retiring Gov. Kim Reynolds.