Updated
Updated · Apollo Global Management · Jun 25
Smaller Private Credit Funds Face Higher Stress Since 2022 as Rates Hit Weaker Borrowers
Updated
Updated · Apollo Global Management · Jun 25

Smaller Private Credit Funds Face Higher Stress Since 2022 as Rates Hit Weaker Borrowers

2 articles · Updated · Apollo Global Management · Jun 25

Summary

  • Higher rates since 2022 have concentrated private-credit stress in smaller funds, which are proving more exposed as leveraged borrowers come under heavier repayment pressure.
  • MSCI data cited by Apollo show those funds lend to smaller, weaker companies and run less diversified portfolios, leaving less cushion when individual loans deteriorate.
  • Software-focused private credit funds look especially vulnerable because their borrowers carry higher leverage and lower coverage ratios than other sectors.
  • The pattern points to a broader divide in private markets, with fund size, borrower quality and sector mix increasingly determining how rate pressure is absorbed.

Insights

As smaller funds falter, are we witnessing a great wealth transfer to distressed-debt specialists and market giants?
With investors rushing for the exits, could the $2.6 trillion private credit boom be on the verge of its first major collapse?
Is AI the hidden threat that could trigger a cascade of defaults in the highly-leveraged private software sector?