Updated
Updated · CNBC · Jul 1
U.S. 10-Year Yield Rises to 4.469% as Markets Await Warsh's Fed Signals
Updated
Updated · CNBC · Jul 1

U.S. 10-Year Yield Rises to 4.469% as Markets Await Warsh's Fed Signals

3 articles · Updated · CNBC · Jul 1

Summary

  • The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield climbed 4 basis points to 4.469% early Wednesday, with the 2-year at 4.172% and the 30-year at 4.963%.
  • Kevin Warsh, newly installed as Fed chair, is due to speak at the ECB's Sintra forum and later join a panel with the heads of the ECB, Bank of England and Bank of Canada.
  • Rate expectations remain tilted toward caution: CME FedWatch shows a 66.3% chance the Fed holds steady in July, but a 66.9% chance of at least a quarter-point hike in September.
  • Investors are also waiting for fresh U.S. data, with ISM manufacturing figures due at 10 a.m. ET and ADP employment numbers later in the morning.

Insights

As the Fed abandons its old playbook, are markets heading for an era of heightened volatility?
Can new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh truly overhaul policy amid high inflation and a divided committee?
AI is both inflationary and deflationary. How can the new Fed navigate this economic paradox?