Updated
Updated · sri.siena.edu · Jul 1
GOP Holds 1- to 2-Point Senate Leads in 3 States as Cooper Tops Whatley by 7
Updated
Updated · sri.siena.edu · Jul 1

GOP Holds 1- to 2-Point Senate Leads in 3 States as Cooper Tops Whatley by 7

2 articles · Updated · sri.siena.edu · Jul 1

Summary

  • Alaska, Iowa and Ohio all showed razor-thin Republican Senate edges in the new New York Times/Siena polls: Dan Sullivan led Mary Peltola 47%-45%, Ashley Hinson led Nathan Turek 48%-46%, and Jon Husted led Sherrod Brown 50%-47%.
  • North Carolina broke from that pattern, with former governor Roy Cooper opening a wider 50%-43% lead over Michael Whatley in the only race outside the margin of error, according to Siena.
  • Six battleground-state polls were conducted June 15-29 among likely voters; Siena said all four Senate contests except North Carolina were effectively tossups.
  • The results add to a broader battleground picture from the same poll series that also found tight statewide races in Iowa and Ohio ahead of November.

Insights

Will voter dissatisfaction with the national economy be strong enough to alter predictable outcomes in state-level governor races?
Can a candidate's populist message overcome a background tied to established political networks and out-of-state interests?
How might unconventional tax proposals on landowners and data centers impact a state's traditional agricultural and tech economies?