Updated
Updated · Fortune · Jun 30
Gallup Finds 60% of Russians See Economy Worsening as Wartime Strains Deepen
Updated
Updated · Fortune · Jun 30

Gallup Finds 60% of Russians See Economy Worsening as Wartime Strains Deepen

3 articles · Updated · Fortune · Jun 30

Summary

  • A record 60% of Russians told Gallup economic conditions are getting worse, up from 39% last year and the first majority-pessimistic reading in two decades of polling.
  • Another 56% said living standards are worsening, while 58% called it a bad time to find a job — signs that household strain is breaking the wartime social compact.
  • Tax hikes, persistent inflation and a labor shortage have added to the pressure, with some Russians viewing the VAT increase from 20% to 22% as a broken Putin pledge.
  • Russia’s fiscal cushion has also thinned: liquid sovereign wealth fund assets fell to 1.8% of GDP from 6.5% at the war’s start, and oil and gas revenues dropped 45% in the first quarter.
  • The poll suggests economic stress is now eroding confidence in state institutions, complicating the Kremlin’s effort to sustain the war while keeping public support intact.

Insights

With public trust collapsing and its economy declining, is the Kremlin's control over the Russian people finally cracking?
As Ukrainian drones expose Russia's vulnerabilities, is the Kremlin's promise of security to its citizens now broken?