Updated
Updated · Bloomberg · Jun 30
ECB Could Still Hike Rates in September as Energy Price Drop Fails to Quell Inflation Fears
Updated
Updated · Bloomberg · Jun 30

ECB Could Still Hike Rates in September as Energy Price Drop Fails to Quell Inflation Fears

1 articles · Updated · Bloomberg · Jun 30

Summary

  • September is still a live meeting for an ECB rate hike, Apollo chief economist Torsten Slok said, even after a substantial fall in energy prices since the bank’s last meeting.
  • Months of earlier energy-cost increases could still feed through into food and services prices, leaving the ECB exposed to second-round inflation effects.
  • Falling fuel prices alone may not be enough because companies could keep lifting wages, a dynamic Slok said risks triggering a wage-price spiral.
  • That leaves the ECB balancing easing headline energy pressure against the possibility that underlying inflation stays sticky into the autumn.

Insights

Beyond rate hikes, what can truly insulate Europe from future energy shocks and persistent inflation?
With 'second-round effects' looming, are Europeans facing another major shock to wages and food prices in 2027?
Could the ECB's fight against inflation inadvertently push the European economy into a deep recession?