Updated
Updated · Econbrowser · Jun 26
Economists Cut Canada 2026 Growth Forecast to 0.7% After Q1 Contraction
Updated
Updated · Econbrowser · Jun 26

Economists Cut Canada 2026 Growth Forecast to 0.7% After Q1 Contraction

3 articles · Updated · Econbrowser · Jun 26

Summary

  • Bloomberg-surveyed economists now expect Canada’s economy to grow just 0.7% in 2026, a sharp slowdown after output shrank in the first quarter.
  • The downgrade reflects a weaker starting point for the year: Q1 contraction has pulled down the expected path for annual GDP.
  • Bloomberg consensus estimates in the chart sit below the prior consensus, signaling forecasters have marked down Canada’s growth outlook rather than expecting a quick rebound.

Insights

Canada's housing market is down 20% from its peak. Is a recovery in 2026 now impossible?
As US and Canadian central banks diverge, is Canada's economy being left behind?
With a USMCA renewal deadline looming, is Canada's biggest economic threat its closest trading partner?