Updated
Updated · The Independent · Jun 30
UK Confirms 0.6% Q1 Growth as 2025 GDP Is Cut to 1.3%
Updated
Updated · The Independent · Jun 30

UK Confirms 0.6% Q1 Growth as 2025 GDP Is Cut to 1.3%

3 articles · Updated · The Independent · Jun 30

Summary

  • ONS left UK first-quarter 2026 growth unrevised at 0.6%, confirming a strong start to the year before the Iran war hit activity.
  • April GDP then shrank 0.1% after 0.3% growth in March, as nearly four months of conflict and higher fuel and energy costs weighed on the economy.
  • 2025 growth was revised down to 1.3% from 1.4%, with fourth-quarter expansion cut to 0.1% from 0.2%, reinforcing why the Bank of England and other forecasters have lowered 2026 outlooks.
  • Household finances weakened even as GDP per head rose 0.6% in Q1: real disposable income fell 0.8% and the saving ratio dropped 0.7 points to 8.9% as taxes and inflation eroded spending power.
  • Services drove the quarter's expansion with 0.8% growth, while construction and production each rose 0.2%, but the interim US-Iran peace deal is not expected to fully offset the year's damage.

Insights

As the UK economy grows while its people get poorer, can decentralizing power from London actually reverse this trend?
Can Britain's plan for reindustrialization boost incomes without undermining its critical climate goals?