A 20% seven-day development chance has been posted for an area off Florida’s Atlantic coast, putting forecasters on alert ahead of the Independence Day holiday period.
A stalled cold front across the Deep South is expected to act as the focus for any organization, while a broader pattern shift increases the odds of unsettled weather.
Deep moisture streaming in from the Atlantic should raise Florida’s rain and thunderstorm chances through the coming week, even if no named system forms.
High pressure north of Florida is steering that moisture southward and could also push any developing disturbance back west toward the state.