Updated
Updated · Bloomberg · Jun 24
Hedge Funds Double Basis-Trade Treasury Longs to $830 Billion, Fed Says
Updated
Updated · Bloomberg · Jun 24

Hedge Funds Double Basis-Trade Treasury Longs to $830 Billion, Fed Says

2 articles · Updated · Bloomberg · Jun 24

Summary

  • $830 billion of hedge funds’ Treasury long positioning was tied to the cash-futures basis trade as of September, according to a Federal Reserve report.
  • The Fed said the revival of that highly leveraged arbitrage strategy drove the surge in Treasury exposure, pushing basis-trade positions to about double their previous peak in early 2020.
  • That slice now represents 35% of hedge funds’ total long Treasury exposure, which the report said is still dominated by arbitrage trades including swap spreads and maturity-matched strategies.

Insights

As leveraged funds retreat from the Treasury market, who will step in to absorb the massive supply of U.S. government debt?
With a $4 trillion hedge fund presence, is the Treasury market's biggest risk the trade's growth or its sudden, rapid collapse?
New rules offer 80% margin savings on risky trades. Is this a safety net or a catalyst for the next crisis?