Updated
Updated · The Motley Fool · Jun 24
Ackman Likens Amazon, Meta, Microsoft to Berkshire in 2000 at 18x-28x Forward Earnings
Updated
Updated · The Motley Fool · Jun 24

Ackman Likens Amazon, Meta, Microsoft to Berkshire in 2000 at 18x-28x Forward Earnings

3 articles · Updated · The Motley Fool · Jun 24

Summary

  • Bill Ackman said Amazon, Meta and Microsoft resemble Berkshire Hathaway in 2000, arguing the market has left them undervalued despite strong long-term prospects.
  • Forward P/E multiples now sit at 28 for Amazon, 22.5 for Microsoft and 18 for Meta, levels the report says are unusually low given their accelerating revenue growth.
  • AI enthusiasm has instead lifted suppliers: semiconductor stocks are up more than 90% this year and energy stocks nearly 60%, versus a 9% gain for the S&P 500.
  • Ackman argues investors are wrongly punishing heavy capital spending, saying higher outlays should be welcomed when demand is rising and management is trusted.
  • The Berkshire parallel rests on valuation: after lagging badly in 1999, Berkshire returned 176% over the next decade while the S&P 500 delivered -4.8%.

Insights

With AI spending hitting trillions, are tech giants a massive value trap or the next Berkshire Hathaway?
Is Google’s clear AI plan a better bet than the massive infrastructure spending of its biggest rivals?