New York House Primaries Defy Forecasts as 43% Undecided and Sparse Polling Cloud Key Races
Updated
Updated · The New York Times · Jun 23
New York House Primaries Defy Forecasts as 43% Undecided and Sparse Polling Cloud Key Races
3 articles · Updated · The New York Times · Jun 23
Summary
Public polling is absent in two high-profile New York City Democratic House primaries—Grace Meng’s 6th District and Yvette Clarke’s 9th—leaving major races with little independent data.
Where surveys do exist, many were commissioned by campaigns or aligned outside groups, raising questions about reliability and making media-driven predictions harder to trust.
The uncertainty is amplified by large undecided blocs, including 43% in the latest 7th District poll, where Claire Valdez and Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso are competing in an open seat.
Other available polls point in conflicting directions: Dan Goldman led by 34 points in one 10th District survey but by 5 in another, while Adriano Espaillat and Darializa Avila Chevalier traded leads across 13th District polls.
The patchy, partisan polling landscape leaves several of New York’s marquee Democratic House contests unusually difficult to handicap heading into the primary.