Updated
Updated · mises.org · Jun 18
Americans’ Real Earnings Fall 0.69% in May as 4.3% Inflation Outruns 3.4% Wage Growth
Updated
Updated · mises.org · Jun 18

Americans’ Real Earnings Fall 0.69% in May as 4.3% Inflation Outruns 3.4% Wage Growth

1 articles · Updated · mises.org · Jun 18

Summary

  • Average real earnings fell 0.69% from a year earlier in May, the second straight monthly decline after nominal hourly pay rose 3.4% but CPI climbed 4.3%.
  • May’s inflation surge was broad enough to keep wages underwater: fuel prices jumped 23.5% year over year, food rose 3.1%, and core CPI hit a nine-month high.
  • Producer prices added to the pressure, with May PPI up 6.45% from a year earlier — the highest in 42 months — signaling higher costs for businesses that can feed through to consumers.
  • The drop in real pay echoes the 2022-23 stretch of persistent wage erosion and lands hardest on lower-income households, which the New York Fed has already flagged as facing elevated financial hardship.

Insights

With paychecks shrinking against inflation, what can stop the decline in American living standards?
Why does the US labor market seem fragile despite a historically low 4.3% unemployment rate?
Is flawed data on AI software prices causing the Federal Reserve to misread the true state of inflation?