Analyst Backs Mercury +7.5 Against Fever as Clark Averages 4.8 Turnovers

2 articles · Updated · Fox News · Jun 22

Phoenix +7.5 is the recommended bet for Monday's Mercury-Fever matchup, with the analyst still projecting Indiana to win 79-76.
Clark's 4.8 turnovers per game — worst in the WNBA — drive the pick, alongside a -4.3 on/off net rating and 48 bad-pass turnovers, more than triple any teammate.
Phoenix's edge rests on possession control: the Mercury post better turnover rates on both ends, allow the fewest opponent free-throw attempts, and can run offense through Alyssa Thomas and veteran DeWanna Bonner.
Indiana enters at 9-7 after back-to-back losses to Atlanta, while Phoenix is 5-12 but just snapped a four-game skid by beating Seattle 93-73.
FanDuel listed the Fever at -7.5 and -290 on the moneyline, with Phoenix also carrying a slight rest advantage in the teams' first meeting this season.