Dollar Index Hits 1-Year High Above 100 as Iran War and Fed Hike Odds Lift Bets
Updated
Updated · Financial Times · Jun 22
Dollar Index Hits 1-Year High Above 100 as Iran War and Fed Hike Odds Lift Bets
2 articles · Updated · Financial Times · Jun 22
Summary
More than 2% since the Iran war began, the dollar index has climbed to its highest level in a year, with bullish futures positions also reaching a near one-year high.
Fed signals that rate cuts are off the table and hike odds are rising have widened the US rate advantage, while much of the rest of the world faces weaker growth and scope for stable or lower rates.
IPO and AI enthusiasm has added a separate pro-dollar tailwind, as investors keep favoring US assets and the dollar’s traditional safe-haven inverse correlation with stocks has re-emerged since the war.
BBH’s Elias Haddad sees room for the index to rise from about 100 to roughly 102, though that path could shift if the Iran peace effort collapses or foreign central banks turn more hawkish.