Updated
Updated · USA TODAY · Jun 20
NOAA Sees Above-Normal Summer Heat Across Most of U.S. Through September 2026
Updated
Updated · USA TODAY · Jun 20

NOAA Sees Above-Normal Summer Heat Across Most of U.S. Through September 2026

3 articles · Updated · USA TODAY · Jun 20

Summary

  • NOAA’s June 18 outlook projects above-normal temperatures for most of the United States in July, August and September, with Oregon and Washington showing the highest odds of hotter-than-normal conditions.
  • The forecast shows little overall precipitation change versus 1991-2020 averages, though Southern California, Utah and Arizona and parts of nearby Mountain West states are expected to be wetter than average.
  • That added rainfall could aid drought-hit, wildfire-prone areas, but forecasters say monsoon moisture and one to two east Pacific tropical storms may also shift risks from early-season fire to late-summer flooding.
  • AccuWeather still expects above-average fall fire danger in the Northwest as warmer, drier conditions persist, while drought may intensify in the northern Rockies and flooding risk extends from northern Texas into the Midwest.

Insights

As the Southwest faces a dramatic shift from fire to flood, are communities prepared for back-to-back climate disasters?
With a 'Super El Niño' fueling extreme weather, is 2026 on track to become the hottest year on record?