Updated
Updated · Bloomberg · Jun 20
Lula Leads Bolsonaro 47%-43% in Runoff Poll as Bank Fraud Scandal Weighs on Rival
Updated
Updated · Bloomberg · Jun 20

Lula Leads Bolsonaro 47%-43% in Runoff Poll as Bank Fraud Scandal Weighs on Rival

3 articles · Updated · Bloomberg · Jun 20

Summary

  • Datafolha’s latest survey kept Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva ahead of Senator Flavio Bolsonaro by 4 points in a hypothetical runoff, with Lula at 47% and Bolsonaro at 43%.
  • The unchanged margin follows reports linking Bolsonaro to Daniel Vorcaro, the jailed former chief executive of Banco Master SA, at the center of Brazil’s biggest bank fraud scandal.
  • Last month’s poll showed the same 47%-43% split, indicating Lula has held the lead since the scandal put Bolsonaro’s ties under sharper scrutiny.

Insights

As scandal paralyzes Brazil, will its next leader align with Washington or forge an independent path?
When a bank's collapse exposes corruption from the courts to congress, who truly holds power in Brazil?
With top justices implicated in a massive fraud, can Brazil’s democracy survive its own justice system?