30-Year Treasury Yields Seen Exceeding 5% by Year-End as 57% Back Rise
Updated
Updated · Bloomberg · Jun 18
30-Year Treasury Yields Seen Exceeding 5% by Year-End as 57% Back Rise
1 articles · Updated · Bloomberg · Jun 18
Summary
57% of 101 Markets Pulse respondents said 30-year Treasury yields will finish 2026 at or above 5%, pointing to a renewed climb in long-end borrowing costs.
The survey reflects doubts that the Federal Reserve will move quickly enough to contain the recent inflation surge, a key driver behind the higher year-end yield view.
The 30-year yield is now around 4.90% after breaching 5% last month, when the Iran war's oil shock pushed it to a nearly two-decade high.
That level has proved volatile before: the yield briefly topped 5% in 2023 after aggressive Fed hikes and again after Donald Trump's tariff rollout last year, before retreating.