Updated
Updated · The FP · Jun 16
Polymarket and Kalshi Hit $24 Billion Volume as Prediction Markets Grow 10-Fold
Updated
Updated · The FP · Jun 16

Polymarket and Kalshi Hit $24 Billion Volume as Prediction Markets Grow 10-Fold

3 articles · Updated · The FP · Jun 16

Summary

  • $24 billion in April trading volume flowed through Polymarket and Kalshi, more than 10 times their level a year earlier, according to Pew Research Center data.
  • Prediction markets are expanding beyond sports betting by letting users wager on politics and other events, drawing interest as an alternative signal to traditional polling.
  • 40% of U.S. men ages 18 to 34 said in an April survey that they use prediction markets, underscoring how quickly the products are spreading.
  • Kalshi has struck deals with CNN, CNBC and Fox, while Polymarket has partnered with The Wall Street Journal and Substack, tying the fast-growing platforms more closely to mainstream media.

Insights

As regulators clash, will prediction markets be governed as innovative financial tools or as high-tech gambling?
With 80% of users losing money, are these platforms democratizing forecasting or just creating a new casino for the few?
Can new rules stop insiders from using military or corporate secrets to profit on these rapidly growing markets?