Updated
Updated · Bloomberg · Jun 16
Citadel Securities Warns Fed May Start Raising Rates in September as Inflation Stays Broad-Based
Updated
Updated · Bloomberg · Jun 16

Citadel Securities Warns Fed May Start Raising Rates in September as Inflation Stays Broad-Based

1 articles · Updated · Bloomberg · Jun 16

Summary

  • September is emerging as the earliest point for a Fed rate-hike cycle, Citadel Securities said, arguing inflation risks have intensified rather than faded.
  • Persistent, broad-based price pressures became more entrenched during the US-Iran war, according to macro strategist Frank Flight's note to clients.
  • Oil prices have retreated after the US and Iran announced an interim peace deal, but Citadel said the pullback has not undone the wider inflation buildup.
  • The warning points to a sharper policy turn from the Fed if wartime price pressures continue to seep beyond energy into the broader economy.

Insights

Can new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh tame entrenched inflation without triggering a severe recession?
With $480 billion in private debt maturing, will Fed rate hikes ignite a credit crisis?