Analyst Backs Over 9.5 Runs in Mets-Reds as New York Carries 11-Game Skid

Q: How did Brady Singer transform from a struggling pitcher in mid-2025 to the Reds' leader in wins?

He did not make a sudden transformation in 2025; the premise is off. On July 19, 2025, Brady Singer was in a bad stretch, carrying a 2-6 record with a 5.61 ERA and the Reds had lost his previous seven starts. But over the full season, he stabilized and finished as Cincinnati’s leader in wins, starts and innings, going 14-12 with a 4.03 ERA across 32 starts and 169 2/3 innings. What changed was less a dramatic reinvention than a second-half correction. The mid-July snapshot captured his worst run, including home-run problems and poor run prevention. Over the remaining months, he pitched more effectively and, just as importantly, kept taking the ball every fifth day. That durability mattered on a Reds club with an inconsistent offense and limited rotation certainty. The broader evidence shows Singer’s value in 2025 came from volume and steadier results over time. Even when his ERA was elevated, he remained a workhorse, and by season’s end that reliability allowed him to accumulate wins as the Reds’ most heavily used starter. It is also important not to confuse 2025 with 2026. The sharper reports of velocity loss, blister issues, and severe home-run trouble belong mainly to early 2026, not to the second half of 2025. So the accurate reading is that Singer endured a rough midseason patch in 2025, then recovered enough over a full workload to finish as the Reds’ wins leader.

3 articles · Updated · Fox News · Jun 16

Over 9.5 runs is the recommended play for Tuesday’s Mets-Reds matchup, with the pick driven more by shaky pitching outlooks than confidence in either side to win.
Kodai Senga returns for New York after not pitching since April, creating uncertainty over his workload and rust even though Reds hitters are just 3-for-20 against him.
Brady Singer brings a 5.61 ERA, 1.64 WHIP and 17 homers allowed for Cincinnati, and the Reds have lost his last seven starts.
12 unanswered runs powered Cincinnati to a shutout win Monday, while the Mets enter at 32-40 on an 11-game losing streak and the Reds sit 34-37 after a 14-26 slide.