Updated
Updated · Bloomberg · Jun 16
Dubai, Murban Curves Flip Into Contango as US-Iran Deal Reopens Strait of Hormuz
Updated
Updated · Bloomberg · Jun 16

Dubai, Murban Curves Flip Into Contango as US-Iran Deal Reopens Strait of Hormuz

3 articles · Updated · Bloomberg · Jun 16

Summary

  • Dubai and Murban forward curves turned to contango for the first time since the war began, signaling a sharp easing in immediate supply fears across Middle Eastern crude markets.
  • The shift followed a US-Iran agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, which raised expectations that more oil will flow from the region.
  • Prompt crude contracts now trade below later-dated ones — a reversal from wartime tightness that points to weaker near-term pricing and improved supply confidence.

Insights

With Iran's nuclear program still unresolved, is the Hormuz deal just a temporary truce before the next global oil crisis?
How will the new Saudi-led regional alliance challenge Iran's power now that the Strait of Hormuz is open?
Did the 2026 oil shock permanently accelerate the world's transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy?