Updated
Updated · KOMO News · Jun 15
US Homebuilder Confidence Falls to 35 for 14th Month Below 40 as Buyers Pull Back
Updated
Updated · KOMO News · Jun 15

US Homebuilder Confidence Falls to 35 for 14th Month Below 40 as Buyers Pull Back

3 articles · Updated · KOMO News · Jun 15

Summary

  • The NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index slipped 2 points to 35 in June, leaving builder sentiment in pessimistic territory and extending a sub-40 streak to 14 months, the longest such run since 2011-12.
  • Buyer affordability drove the weakness: the prospective-buyer traffic gauge fell to 25, while builders cited high mortgage rates, elevated home prices and regulatory costs that NAHB says add more than 26% to a typical single-family home's price.
  • Nearly one-third of builders cut prices in June, with a typical reduction of 6%, and almost two-thirds used sales incentives; incentive use has stayed above 60% for 15 straight months.
  • The slump could curb housing starts and new-home supply over the next 6 to 12 months, even as the average 30-year mortgage rate has eased to 6.52% and resale supply remains tight.

Insights

Can builder incentives and price cuts truly solve a national housing shortage of millions?
With peace in Iran, will huge government deficits keep mortgage rates from falling?
The Iran deal lowered oil prices. Will it be enough to overcome high tariffs and construction costs?