Updated
Updated · ProPublica · Jun 15
ProPublica Bans Staff Bets on News Events, Allowing Sports Wagers and Office Pools
Updated
Updated · ProPublica · Jun 15

ProPublica Bans Staff Bets on News Events, Allowing Sports Wagers and Office Pools

2 articles · Updated · ProPublica · Jun 15

Summary

  • ProPublica updated its ethics code to bar all employees from wagering on news-event prediction markets, even when they are not involved in covering the subject.
  • The newsroom said the change responds to the growing reach of platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket and to concerns that financial stakes in news outcomes could undermine reader trust.
  • The revised policy still permits legal sports betting and small-stakes office contests—such as Super Bowl wagers or Oscars pools—when employees are not covering those events.
  • Examples cited include a U.S. soldier accused of making more than $400,000 from a Venezuela-related bet, candidates fined roughly $540 to $6,230 for trading on their own races, and a journalist threatened by gamblers.
  • NPR and The New York Times have adopted similar restrictions, while Maryland, New York and some House lawmakers have also pushed limits on prediction-market betting tied to insider information.

Insights

When news becomes a betting game, can journalism's integrity survive the odds?
Are we stifling a powerful forecasting tool in the race to regulate prediction markets?
With insiders betting on military strikes, how deep does the corruption in these new digital markets run?