Updated
Updated · The New York Times · Jun 14
The Athletic Picks 4 World Cup Matchday 4 Games as Germany, Sweden Draw Heavy Backing
Updated
Updated · The New York Times · Jun 14

The Athletic Picks 4 World Cup Matchday 4 Games as Germany, Sweden Draw Heavy Backing

3 articles · Updated · The New York Times · Jun 14

Summary

  • Four World Cup matchday 4 games headline The Athletic’s latest predictions, with Germany over Curacao and Sweden over Tunisia drawing near-unanimous support from its expert, subscriber, algorithm and guest pickers.
  • Netherlands vs Japan is framed as the day’s marquee toss-up, carrying a 5/5 risk rating as the expert predicts a draw, the algorithm backs the Dutch and three human guest pickers choose Japan.
  • Ivory Coast vs Ecuador also looks finely balanced, with both teams praised for strong defensive records and limited attacking certainty; the expert calls a draw while other pickers split between Ecuador and Ivory Coast.
  • The forecast follows a volatile matchday 3 that featured Qatar’s 94th-minute equalizer against Switzerland and Australia’s 2-0 upset of Turkey, results that reinforced the tournament’s early unpredictability.
  • Reader picks lead The Athletic’s running prediction table at 63% with 5 correct calls, ahead of Stanley the dog and the algorithm at 50%.

Insights

When a dog rivals expert predictions, what is the true value of modern sports analysis?
Why is a sophisticated algorithm trailing guest readers in this World Cup prediction challenge?
Can Japan's tactical prowess deliver another major tournament upset against the inconsistent Netherlands?