Democrats Hold 10-Point Congressional Ballot Lead at 50.3% as GOP Trails at 39.5%
Updated
Updated · USA TODAY · Jun 11
Democrats Hold 10-Point Congressional Ballot Lead at 50.3% as GOP Trails at 39.5%
3 articles · Updated · USA TODAY · Jun 11
Summary
50.3% of likely voters back Democratic congressional candidates in Emerson College’s June poll, versus 39.5% for Republicans, leaving Democrats ahead by 10 points before the midterms.
1,200 respondents were surveyed June 7-8, and 10.2% remained undecided; Emerson said the Democratic advantage was unchanged from April, within a 2.8-point margin of error.
Republicans still control Congress with a 217-212 House edge and a six-seat Senate majority, making the House a more realistic Democratic pickup target than the Senate.
Redistricting fights in Florida, California, Texas, Virginia and New York are shaping the House battle, while Democrats are targeting Republican Senate seats in Alaska, Iowa, Louisiana, Maine and Texas.
The poll lands a day after May CPI showed inflation up 4.2% year over year—the first reading above 4% since 2023—even as Donald Trump said he welcomed the numbers.