Updated
Updated · Reuters · Jun 12
Gulf Oil Export Losses Shrink to 5-6 Million BPD as Brent Falls Below $90
Updated
Updated · Reuters · Jun 12

Gulf Oil Export Losses Shrink to 5-6 Million BPD as Brent Falls Below $90

3 articles · Updated · Reuters · Jun 12

Summary

  • Traders and shippers now estimate disrupted Gulf crude exports at 5-6 million barrels per day, far below the 12-15 million bpd initially feared after Iran said the Strait of Hormuz was closed.
  • 136 million barrels of non-Iranian crude moved through Hormuz and Gulf of Oman routes from early April to June 10, Kpler said, while Saudi Arabia kept 4-5 million bpd flowing from its Red Sea port of Yanbu.
  • Alternative logistics — including tankers sailing with transponders off — plus stronger U.S. exports, a 400-million-barrel emergency stocks release and weaker Chinese buying helped push Brent from nearly $120 to below $90.
  • Inventories are still tightening: the EIA said stockpiles in major economies are heading for their lowest since at least 2003, and S&P Global Energy put key U.S. hub stocks at 351 million barrels versus a 325 million danger zone.

Insights

Beyond Hormuz, how secure are the 'alternative' routes now propping up the global oil supply against further attacks?
With global oil reserves at a 20-year low, is the world running on borrowed time before the next major price shock?
The U.S. is a top oil exporter, so why do global conflicts still hit American wallets so hard at the pump?