Updated
Updated · CoinDesk · Jun 12
Bitcoin Holds Near $63,000 as Weekly RSI Stays at 34, Below 41.5 Bottom Signal
Updated
Updated · CoinDesk · Jun 12

Bitcoin Holds Near $63,000 as Weekly RSI Stays at 34, Below 41.5 Bottom Signal

2 articles · Updated · CoinDesk · Jun 12

Summary

  • $63,000 bitcoin is still missing a confirmed bottom signal because its weekly RSI sits at 34.00, well below the 41.5 level Material Indicators says marks a bullish macro turn.
  • The gauge has historically separated bull and bear regimes: BTC held above 41.5 through the 2024-25, 2020-21 and 2015-17 bull runs, while deeper bear phases in 2018, 2022 and recent months stayed below it.
  • A bounce to $64,000 from sub-$60,000 lows therefore looks more like a relief rally than a fresh uptrend, with analyst Keith Alan saying the burden of proof remains on bulls.
  • 31.89 is the next key RSI level to watch; a drop below that prior weekly reading would point to further price losses, while a move back above 41.5 would be the first meaningful bottom confirmation.

Insights

Can one historical indicator still predict Bitcoin's trend, or have market fundamentals permanently changed?
With Bitcoin's network usage declining, can a price recovery based on chart patterns alone be sustained?
Retail investors are buying what Bitcoin whales are selling. Is this a classic bull trap in the making?