Updated
Updated · Zacks Investment Research · Jun 11
Zacks Rates Super Micro Hold as $6.7 Billion Free Cash Flow Turns Negative
Updated
Updated · Zacks Investment Research · Jun 11

Zacks Rates Super Micro Hold as $6.7 Billion Free Cash Flow Turns Negative

3 articles · Updated · Zacks Investment Research · Jun 11

Summary

  • Super Micro drew a Zacks Rank #3 Hold, with analysts urging investors to retain the stock until execution and cash-flow trends improve despite its discounted valuation.
  • Negative free cash flow of $6.7 billion and operating cash outflow of $6.6 billion in fiscal third quarter were driven by elevated inventory, lower accounts payable and rising receivables.
  • Inventory climbed to $11.1 billion from $10.6 billion in the prior quarter and $4.68 billion at fiscal 2025-end, while days inventory outstanding jumped to 106 from 63.
  • The caution comes even as AI demand remains strong: SMCI says GPU-related platforms generate more than 80% of quarterly revenue, software revenue rose to $46 million, and rack capacity is targeted above 6,000 per month by fiscal 2026-end.
  • Shares have fallen 32.4% over the past year and trade at 0.35 times sales versus the industry's 4.07, but analysts flagged customer concentration and stronger competition from Dell and HPE as ongoing risks.

Insights

Why is Super Micro's stock lagging while its AI sales are booming and competitors are closing in?
After an export scandal, can Super Micro secure its place in the sensitive Sovereign AI market against trusted rivals?
As the AI industry hits a power-grid wall, can Super Micro's expansion and cooling tech truly bypass this critical bottleneck?