Updated
Updated · CBS Sports · Jun 10
SportsLine Model Backs Under 215.5 in Knicks-Spurs Game 4 as Series Tightens to 2-1
Updated
Updated · CBS Sports · Jun 10

SportsLine Model Backs Under 215.5 in Knicks-Spurs Game 4 as Series Tightens to 2-1

3 articles · Updated · CBS Sports · Jun 10

Summary

  • SportsLine’s projection model ran Knicks-Spurs Game 4 10,000 times and landed on the Under, projecting 214 combined points with the total staying below 215.5 in 55% of simulations.
  • That call leans on a lower-scoring series profile: Games 1 and 2 both finished Under, and 53% of Knicks games and 54% of Spurs games went Under during the season.
  • The model expects only two 20-point scorers in Game 4 — San Antonio’s Victor Wembanyama and New York’s Jalen Brunson — limiting the overall scoring ceiling.
  • Game 4 tips at 8:30 p.m. ET at Madison Square Garden with New York a 1.5-point favorite after San Antonio’s Game 3 win snapped the Knicks’ 13-game playoff streak and cut the Finals deficit to 2-1.

Insights

With their win streak broken, can the Knicks psychologically rebound at home or will the Spurs even the NBA Finals?
After public criticism of officiating, how will the referees' calls impact the pivotal Game 4 in New York City?