Updated
Updated · The Conversation · Jun 9
Oil Markets Showed 15 Unusual Trades Before Trump’s 1,341 Truth Social Posts
Updated
Updated · The Conversation · Jun 9

Oil Markets Showed 15 Unusual Trades Before Trump’s 1,341 Truth Social Posts

2 articles · Updated · The Conversation · Jun 9

Summary

  • A 73-day analysis found 15 distinct episodes of unusual oil-market trading around Donald Trump’s Truth Social posts, with several of the sharpest price moves occurring minutes before he posted.
  • The pattern suggests some traders may have placed unusually well-timed bets before market-moving comments became public, raising questions about whether they had advance knowledge.
  • Millions of dollars changed hands in those episodes between Jan. 25 and April 8, a period covering 1,341 posts from Trump’s account.
  • The findings challenge the usual sequence in which presidential statements move markets after publication, pointing instead to repeated pre-post positioning in oil trading.

Insights

With billions wagered on oil prices before official news, is market integrity now a myth?
Could foreign intelligence be using our financial markets to predict US military actions?
Are anonymous crypto bets on war becoming the new frontier for insider trading?