Updated
Updated · Reuters · Jun 9
Euro Zone Yields Hold Steady as ECB Nears 25-Basis-Point Hike
Updated
Updated · Reuters · Jun 9

Euro Zone Yields Hold Steady as ECB Nears 25-Basis-Point Hike

3 articles · Updated · Reuters · Jun 9

Summary

  • Germany's 10-year yield held at 3.051% on Tuesday, while the two-year slipped 2.5 basis points to 2.677% after easing Israel-Iran tensions calmed fears of a deeper energy shock.
  • Iran and Israel said they would end military operations after a U.S. appeal, raising hopes the Strait of Hormuz could reopen and ease pressure on oil supplies and inflation.
  • The ECB is expected to lift its deposit rate by 25 basis points to 2.25% on Thursday, which would be its first move in a year after the Iran war reignited price pressures.
  • Money markets still price 68 basis points of tightening by year-end, implying one more quarter-point increase and better than 70% odds of a third hike.

Insights

The Iran-Israel ceasefire paused the energy crisis, but is the ECB about to push a fragile European economy into recession?
With the Hormuz strait still blocked despite a ceasefire, can Europe's massive green energy plan solve its immediate economic crisis?