Updated
Updated · mufgresearch.com · Jun 3
Indonesia's Trade Surplus Plunges to $100 Million as Oil Imports Jump $1.6 Billion
Updated
Updated · mufgresearch.com · Jun 3

Indonesia's Trade Surplus Plunges to $100 Million as Oil Imports Jump $1.6 Billion

1 articles · Updated · mufgresearch.com · Jun 3

Summary

  • $100 million — Indonesia’s trade surplus collapsed from $3.3 billion in April, marking a sharp deterioration in the country’s external balance.
  • $1.6 billion in higher oil imports drove much of the drop, as Asian buyers raced to secure crude supplies from producers including Russia, the U.S., Brazil and Angola.
  • Holiday timing may have distorted part of the monthly swing, but the weaker surplus also fits pressure already seen in USD/IDR amid domestic policy and fiscal uncertainty.
  • Higher commodity prices could still support the rupiah, though a more durable turnaround likely needs clearer fiscal policy and progress on Indonesia’s planned commodity export agency.

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