Quilty Misjudges $370 Million Hit, Ranking $2 Million Christy Above Sinners
Updated
Updated · The Verge · Jun 5
Quilty Misjudges $370 Million Hit, Ranking $2 Million Christy Above Sinners
1 articles · Updated · The Verge · Jun 5
Summary
Quilty’s script-scoring tool drew skepticism after rating Christy above Sinners, even though Christy grossed about $2 million and Sinners became a $370 million Oscar-winning blockbuster.
The startup says it can predict a film’s prospects from a script alone, assigning 0-to-100 scores for narrative quality, commercial viability, audience resonance and likely production cost.
Its founders argued Christy looked safer on paper because Sydney Sweeney’s popularity and a cheaper boxing biopic profile outweighed Sinners’ costlier fantasy-action setup.
Quilty charges $50 per analysis and stitches together models including Gemini, DeepSeek, Claude and ChatGPT rather than training its own system, making its decision process harder to parse.
The miss underscores a broader problem for AI film forecasting: script analysis cannot reliably capture cultural moments, scandals or viral phenomena that often decide box-office outcomes.