Updated
Updated · Bloomberg · Jun 5
Algebris Buys Turkish Bond CDS on €3.7 Billion Portfolio as Iran War Lifts Credit Risk
Updated
Updated · Bloomberg · Jun 5

Algebris Buys Turkish Bond CDS on €3.7 Billion Portfolio as Iran War Lifts Credit Risk

1 articles · Updated · Bloomberg · Jun 5

Summary

  • Algebris Investments has started buying default protection on Turkish bonds, marking a defensive turn by a fund manager that had previously been bullish on Turkey.
  • Gabriele Foà, who runs €3.7 billion from Milan for Algebris, said the Iran war has raised the probability of a Turkish credit event by adding strain to the economy.
  • Turkey’s vulnerability is being driven by a widening current-account deficit, higher energy prices and low foreign-exchange reserves, factors Algebris says also increase the risk of dollarization.
  • The move underscores growing investor concern that external shocks could hit Turkey’s financing position and sovereign credit profile.

Insights

Is the Iran war the final trigger for Turkey's economic crisis, or a convenient excuse for deeper domestic policy failures?
With conflicting signals from ratings agencies and investors, is Turkey's economy on the verge of collapse or a major turnaround?
As foreign reserves vanish and the lira plummets, what unconventional options remain for Turkey to avert a complete economic meltdown?