Updated
Updated · Horse Racing Nation · Jun 3
Emerging Market Threatens Belmont Stakes Favorites as Analyst Fades Derby Exacta at 4.5-1
Updated
Updated · Horse Racing Nation · Jun 3

Emerging Market Threatens Belmont Stakes Favorites as Analyst Fades Derby Exacta at 4.5-1

3 articles · Updated · Horse Racing Nation · Jun 3

Summary

  • Emerging Market moved to the top of the analyst’s Belmont Stakes picks after five weeks with Chad Brown, with fair odds set at 4.5-1 and Flavien Prat staying aboard.
  • The case rests on his March 21 Louisiana Derby win and a troubled 10th in the Kentucky Derby, where Golden Tempo later won after finishing third in Louisiana.
  • Golden Tempo and Renegade are the horses to oppose because the Kentucky Derby exacta is expected to be overbet, despite both returning as prominent Belmont choices.
  • Chief Wallabee and Commandment remain usable underneath, while Peter Pan winner Growth Equity and maiden winner Powershift rate as the stronger non-Derby alternatives.
  • The betting strategy is an exacta box using 2, 3, 6, 7 and 8, deliberately excluding Golden Tempo and Renegade to chase better value at Saratoga.

Insights

Can Kentucky Derby winner Golden Tempo defy a powerful Saratoga track bias that historically dooms his running style?
After a life-threatening illness, can Emerging Market prove he's the 'best horse' by winning the prestigious Belmont Stakes?