Updated
Updated · robinjbrooks.substack.com · Jun 2
Japan's $74 Billion Yen Intervention Sells Treasuries, Pushing Up US Yields
Updated
Updated · robinjbrooks.substack.com · Jun 2

Japan's $74 Billion Yen Intervention Sells Treasuries, Pushing Up US Yields

3 articles · Updated · robinjbrooks.substack.com · Jun 2

Summary

  • $74 billion of Japan's May yen support likely added to upward pressure on US Treasury yields, as Tokyo had to raise dollars by selling reserve assets.
  • US Treasuries are the main pool of liquid reserves for such intervention, and past yen-defense episodes have coincided with Japanese Treasury sales; May data from the US Treasury have not yet been published.
  • The intervention's market impact was limited: the yen slid back to pre-intervention levels within weeks, underscoring how Bank of Japan bond buying to cap domestic yields keeps weakening the currency.
  • That leaves Japan's finance ministry and central bank working at cross-purposes, with the spillover hitting global bond markets already strained by Iran war risks and inflation worries.

Insights

As Japan's policy clash pushes US bond yields higher, is a global financial 'domino effect' now inevitable?
Can Japan's major push into AI and semiconductors resolve its debt crisis before its currency collapses?