McClure Model Fades Tyler Reddick at +700, Backs Chase Elliott at +1900 for Cracker Barrel 400
Updated
Updated · CBS Sports · May 30
McClure Model Fades Tyler Reddick at +700, Backs Chase Elliott at +1900 for Cracker Barrel 400
6 articles · Updated · CBS Sports · May 30
Tyler Reddick, the Cup points leader and second betting choice at +700, is projected to barely crack the top 10 in Mike McClure's 2026 Cracker Barrel 400 model.
Reddick enters Nashville winless in his last four starts, owns a 15.6 average finish at the track, and 23XI Racing has produced just one top-five finish in its last nine Nashville starts.
Chase Elliott, listed at +1900, is the model's surprise contender after winning this race in 2022 and posting a 13.1 average finish on intermediate and large ovals this season.
Denny Hamlin remains the market favorite at +390 for Sunday's 7 p.m. ET night race at Nashville Superspeedway, with Ryan Blaney, Kyle Larson and Christopher Bell all at +750.
McClure's simulation model runs each race 10,000 times and has identified 29 winners since 2021, including 11 winners in 2025, while also flagging three longshots above +2000.
Why are experts betting against the season's most dominant driver at Nashville?
Will a horsepower increase crown a new winner at Nashville's challenging concrete track?