SportsLine Backs Thunder in Game 7, Projects Under 212.5 and SGA Below 38.5
Updated
Updated · CBS Sports · May 30
SportsLine Backs Thunder in Game 7, Projects Under 212.5 and SGA Below 38.5
1 articles · Updated · CBS Sports · May 30
Game 7 in Oklahoma City will decide the West champion, and SportsLine's model favors the Thunder money line while projecting a lower-scoring game and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander under 38.5 points plus assists.
10,000 simulations gave Oklahoma City a 60% win rate and the under a 57.8% hit rate, with the model projecting Gilgeous-Alexander at 36.6 points plus assists.
Game 6 sharpened the case for those picks: San Antonio won 118-91 and held Gilgeous-Alexander to 15 points after he has shot 37.9% and averaged 24.3 points through six games.
Oklahoma City still brings a 40-8 overall home mark, including 34-7 in the regular season and 6-1 in the playoffs, though San Antonio is 4-3 in OKC this season including the postseason.
Injuries add to the stakes before the 8 p.m. ET tip, with Thunder wing Jalen Williams ruled out and Ajay Mitchell also unavailable as the defending champions try to return to the NBA Finals.
After his worst playoff game, can Shai Gilgeous-Alexander deliver a legacy performance to save the Thunder's title defense?
With the Thunder missing a key star, can Victor Wembanyama lead the surging Spurs to a historic Game 7 road upset?