Wintermute Provides Two-Sided Liquidity to $60 Billion Prediction Markets
Updated
Updated · Markets Media · May 29
Wintermute Provides Two-Sided Liquidity to $60 Billion Prediction Markets
5 articles · Updated · Markets Media · May 29
Wintermute said it is now quoting continuous bid and offer prices across event contracts on leading prediction-market venues, bringing its market-making infrastructure into a segment that has topped $60 billion in 2026 trading volume.
More than $20 billion trades monthly on those venues, but Wintermute said the market still lacks depth; sustained two-sided liquidity should tighten spreads, support larger orders and improve the reliability of market-implied probabilities.
The firm, which handles over $3.5 trillion in annual trading volume across 70-plus exchanges, is positioning prediction markets as a venue for trading and hedging specific event risk rather than using proxies such as equities, rates or crypto.
That push also fits Wintermute's crypto-native operations, as several prediction venues rely on stablecoins, public blockchains and onchain-style settlement that require familiar execution, custody, collateral and risk-management capabilities.
As big firms enter prediction markets, can regulators stop them from becoming the next frontier for insider trading?
With federal and state laws clashing, will prediction markets be legitimized as a new asset class or shut down?
Do these markets reveal the 'wisdom of crowds' or just create a new casino for real-world crises?