Manzano Picks 17 NFL Overs and 15 Unders on 2026 Win Totals

1 articles · Updated · Sports Illustrated · May 28

Sports Illustrated’s Gilberto Manzano released 2026 over/under win-total calls for all 32 NFL teams, ranking them by confidence and leaning slightly over with 17 overs against 15 unders.
Detroit over 10.5 topped his list, driven by a favorable schedule and offensive-line upgrades, while New England under 9.5 and Kansas City under 10.5 followed on tougher schedules, roster concerns and Patrick Mahomes’s knee recovery.
Other notable high-confidence plays included Buffalo over 10.5, the Jets under 5.5, Green Bay under 10.5 and Houston over 9.5, with Manzano repeatedly citing schedule strength, quarterback stability and offseason additions.
Manzano argued bettors too often chase overs and said oddsmakers price that bias in, adding that he broke about even on last year’s picks and would avoid several lower-confidence lines.

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