WMO Sees 1.5C Warming Breached Through 2030 as 2027 Could Set Heat Record
Updated
Updated · Bloomberg · May 28
WMO Sees 1.5C Warming Breached Through 2030 as 2027 Could Set Heat Record
5 articles · Updated · Bloomberg · May 28
A WMO report says global warming is likely to exceed 1.5C over the next five years, putting temperatures at or near record highs through 2030.
An 86% chance that one year in 2026-2030 beats 2024 as the hottest observed makes 2027 the leading candidate for the next record-breaking year.
The assessment, produced with the UK Met Office, points to sustained heat rather than a one-off spike, extending the breach of the Paris accord threshold into the rest of the decade.
The outlook reinforces warnings that the 1.5C Paris goal is slipping out of reach as climate-driven warming keeps intensifying worldwide.
As the Arctic transforms from a carbon sink to a source, are we now past the point of no return?
With clean energy now cheaper than fossil fuels, what truly stops a rapid global transition?
The 2026–2030 Climate Crisis: El Niño, Extreme Heat, and Global Socio-Economic Risks
Overview
Between 2026 and 2030, the world faces a critical climate turning point, with forecasts showing a high chance of record-breaking global temperatures. This period is expected to see the development of a significant El Niño event, which will play a major role in shaping weather patterns worldwide. The outlook is challenging, as El Niño could intensify extreme weather and wildfires, especially in vulnerable regions. Predictions for sea surface temperature anomalies in the key NINO3.4 region show a wide range, highlighting uncertainty but also the potential for strong impacts. Forecasters are closely monitoring these developments due to their global significance.