U.S. Faces Munitions Gap Until 2030 After Firing 1,000 Tomahawks at Iran

14 articles · Updated · The New Republic · May 27

CSIS said the U.S. will need until at least 2030 to replace more than 1,000 Tomahawk cruise missiles used in Trump’s Iran campaign, leaving a multiyear “window of vulnerability.”
Current output is the bottleneck: Raytheon now makes fewer than 200 Tomahawks a year, far below the 1,000-plus annual pace needed to quickly rebuild inventories.
The study also put restoration of air-defense interceptors, including THAAD and Patriot missiles, at no earlier than 2029, extending the shortfall across multiple key systems.
The Pentagon earlier estimated replacement costs at about $24 billion, but the report argued money is not the main constraint because expanding production capacity for complex weapons takes years.
CSIS warned the gap could matter in a Western Pacific conflict, though it said the Iran operation and strikes against Venezuela and the Houthis may still strengthen deterrence against China.

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