SportsLine Model Backs Under 217.5 in Spurs-Thunder Game 5 After 10,000 Simulations
Updated
Updated · CBS Sports · May 26
SportsLine Model Backs Under 217.5 in Spurs-Thunder Game 5 After 10,000 Simulations
11 articles · Updated · CBS Sports · May 26
SportsLine’s projection model picked the Under 217.5 for Tuesday’s Spurs-Thunder Game 5 after running 10,000 simulations of the Western Conference finals matchup.
59.3% of simulations landed below the total, after Game 4 produced only 185 points and the Under hit in three of five regular-season meetings.
The model projects a relatively narrow scoring spread: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander at 25.7 points for Oklahoma City and Victor Wembanyama at 29.2 for San Antonio, with limited double-figure support on both sides.
Oklahoma City enters the 8:30 p.m. ET home game favored by 3.5 points and -162 on the money line, while Jalen Williams is questionable and Ajay Mitchell remains out.
The best-of-seven series is tied 2-2, making Game 5 in Oklahoma City a pivotal swing game as each team has already won once on the road.
Is Victor Wembanyama’s historic playoff run enough to dethrone the injured, reigning champion Thunder on their own home court?
With a key player injured, can the Thunder's MVP solve the Spurs' defense that completely shut them down in Game 4?