Updated
Updated · Barchart · May 23
Microsoft Loses Exclusive OpenAI Access, Challenging Its 24x Forward P/E Premium
Updated
Updated · Barchart · May 23

Microsoft Loses Exclusive OpenAI Access, Challenging Its 24x Forward P/E Premium

9 articles · Updated · Barchart · May 23
  • A new Microsoft-OpenAI contract ends Microsoft's exclusive access to OpenAI technology, weakening the core AI advantage that had helped justify a premium valuation.
  • That shift turns Microsoft from a uniquely positioned AI partner into a large reseller of shared models, slowing product decisions and pricing moves that now require coordination with OpenAI.
  • Amazon already appears positioned to gain similar access, and the report argues Apple could pursue comparable arrangements, narrowing Microsoft's differentiation in cloud AI.
  • Microsoft still keeps rights to existing work, but future roadmaps now depend on a more arm's-length partnership while the company continues spending billions on data centers and backup models.
  • With Microsoft trading around 24 times forward earnings, the report says investors are no longer buying the same AI story that drove the stock earlier in 2026.
With Amazon's $50B investment, can Microsoft's in-house AI still win the escalating enterprise cloud war?
Is losing OpenAI's exclusivity a blessing in disguise for Microsoft's long-term AI independence?