Kentucky 4th District Polls Show Massie-Gallrein Race Tied as 5 Surveys Put Gallrein Up by 7-8 Points
Updated
Updated · The New York Times · May 19
Kentucky 4th District Polls Show Massie-Gallrein Race Tied as 5 Surveys Put Gallrein Up by 7-8 Points
14 articles · Updated · The New York Times · May 19
Seven public polls released since early April show Kentucky Rep. Thomas Massie in an unusually tight GOP primary, with recent surveys ranging from tied to Ed Gallrein ahead by 7 to 8 points.
The latest batch points to momentum for Gallrein: GrayHouse and SoCal Strategies each had him up 7, Quantus Insights put him up 8, Neighborhood Research showed an even race, and Big Data Poll had Massie ahead by 1.
Gallrein, a retired Navy SEAL recruited by President Trump, is drawing support from less-educated voters and evangelicals, while Massie appears stronger with younger and college-educated Republicans.
Massie, first elected in 2012 and long untested in primaries, has clashed with Trump over issues including the Epstein files and Iran, helping turn the contest into a proxy fight inside the GOP.
With primary turnout typically low, the result is likely to hinge less on broad persuasion than on which candidate can mobilize his base on election day.
Can grassroots donors overcome record spending and a presidential endorsement in a congressional primary?