SportsLine Model Backs Over 5.5 in Canadiens-Sabres Game 7, Simulating 10,000 Matchups
Updated
Updated · CBS Sports · May 18
SportsLine Model Backs Over 5.5 in Canadiens-Sabres Game 7, Simulating 10,000 Matchups
11 articles · Updated · CBS Sports · May 18
SportsLine’s projection model made the Over 5.5 goals its top play for Monday’s Canadiens-Sabres Game 7 after running the matchup 10,000 times.
The model projects 6.5 combined goals and says the Over hits 61% of the time, with Buffalo entering after an 8-3 Game 6 win that forced the decider.
Buffalo is a slight -118 favorite at home in the 7:30 p.m. ET matchup at KeyBank Center, where the winner advances to face Carolina in the Eastern Conference finals.
Player projections point to offense on both sides: Montreal’s Cole Caufield is forecast for 0.56 goals, while Buffalo’s Tage Thompson is projected for 0.54.
SportsLine says it also found value on one moneyline side, though the report withholds that pick behind its subscription offering.
Will Montreal’s opportunistic scoring triumph over Buffalo’s analytically questionable offensive hot streak?
Can Buffalo's explosive offense finally overcome their franchise's long history of Game 7 failures?