Updated
Updated · ESC Insight · May 16
Finland Projected to Win Eurovision 2026 With 411 Points as Australia Tops Jury Forecast
Updated
Updated · ESC Insight · May 16

Finland Projected to Win Eurovision 2026 With 411 Points as Australia Tops Jury Forecast

7 articles · Updated · ESC Insight · May 16
  • Finland is The Model’s final pick to win Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, with Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen’s “Liekinheitin” projected to score 411 points.
  • The forecast points to a split result: Finland is expected to win the public vote, while Australia’s Delta Goodrem and “Eclipse” are projected to top the jury and finish second overall.
  • Israel is placed third in the final ranking, with Romania’s “Viva, Moldova!” fourth and Bulgaria’s “Bangaranga” fifth.
  • The prediction is The Model’s last update of the season and draws on audience polling after jury shows, market moves, community rankings, musical statistics and tactical-voting factors.
  • If the call proves right, Finland would claim its first Eurovision victory in 20 years, since Lordi won with “Hard Rock Hallelujah.”
Can new voting rules and boycotts derail Finland's predicted path to Eurovision victory?
As political tensions overshadow the music, will the winner be decided by song or by controversy?