SportsLine Model Backs Under 218.5 in Spurs-Timberwolves Game 6 After 10,000 Simulations
Updated
Updated · CBS Sports · May 15
SportsLine Model Backs Under 218.5 in Spurs-Timberwolves Game 6 After 10,000 Simulations
14 articles · Updated · CBS Sports · May 15
10,000 simulations led SportsLine's model to back the under in Friday's Spurs-Timberwolves Game 6, projecting 211 total points and a 63% hit rate below the 218.5 line.
San Antonio enters Minneapolis with a 3-2 series lead after a 126-97 Game 5 win, and FanDuel lists the Spurs as 5.5-point road favorites with a -225 moneyline.
The under trend supports that call: it has hit in 25 of the Spurs' last 47 road games and in 30 of 46 Timberwolves home games this season.
Player projections point to modest scoring depth, with Victor Wembanyama at 23.2 points, Anthony Edwards at 26.4, three Spurs reaching at least 17 and two Timberwolves topping 14.
The model also found one side of the spread cashing more than 60% of the time, though the report did not disclose which team it favors against the number.
Analytics predict a low-scoring affair, but will Minnesota's defense be enough to contain the heavily favored San Antonio Spurs at home?
With his season on the line, can an injured Anthony Edwards outduel rookie phenom Victor Wembanyama to force a Game 7?