Yankees Draw 58% Win Odds Over Mets in Subway Series as Injuries Hit Queens

7 articles · Updated · Yahoo Sports · May 15

Kalshi markets price the Yankees at a 58% chance to beat the Mets on Friday night at Citi Field, backing the AL club despite its 7-0 loss to Baltimore in its last game.
27-17 New York owns the stronger season profile: 5.07 runs per game, a .763 OPS, a 3.216 staff ERA and a .219 opponent average, versus the Mets' 18-25 record, 3.74 runs and .641 OPS.
Cam Schlittler's 1.35 ERA, 0.806 WHIP and .177 opponent average give the Yankees a mound edge over Clay Holmes, who has still posted a 1.86 ERA but with lower strikeout and higher walk rates.
12 Mets injuries have thinned the home lineup, with Francisco Lindor, Francisco Alvarez and Luis Robert Jr. sidelined; the Yankees also have seven injuries, including Gerrit Cole and Giancarlo Stanton.
Recent form adds some uncertainty after the Mets hit five homers in a 9-4 win over Detroit, but markets still favor the Yankees' deeper offense and slightly stronger bullpen.

Will the Mets’ recent hot streak defy the data and upset the favored Yankees in their crosstown rivalry showdown?

Can Juan Soto lead the injury-plagued Mets to victory against the team he famously rejected for a record contract?